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The shy Trump factor will get Donald Trump handily reëlected in November
"The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s." The shy Trump factor is the same phenomenon but with regards to Donald J. Trump in mid-2020. Either way, "these polling companies observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party (known colloquially as the 'Tories') was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The accepted explanation was that so-called 'shy Tories' were voting Conservative after telling pollsters they would not. The general elections held in 1992 and 2015 are examples where it has dramatically affected the overall result but has also been discussed in other elections where the Conservatives did unexpectedly well. It has also been applied to the success of the Republican Party in the United States" and will result in the reëlection of Donald Trump in November 2020.